PubRank

Neil M Ferguson

Author PubWeight™ 235.20‹?›

Top papers

Rank Title Journal Year PubWeight™‹?›
1 Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections. N Engl J Med 2014 28.65
2 Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings. Science 2009 26.24
3 Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science 2003 12.26
4 Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong. Lancet 2003 10.74
5 Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies. Am J Epidemiol 2008 10.02
6 Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2004 8.38
7 Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2008 8.27
8 Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data. Nature 2008 7.98
9 Closure of schools during an influenza pandemic. Lancet Infect Dis 2009 6.68
10 Assessing the severity of the novel influenza A/H1N1 pandemic. BMJ 2009 6.66
11 Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States. N Engl J Med 2009 6.65
12 The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in U.S. cities. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2007 5.73
13 Reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa: a model-based evaluation of intervention strategies. PLoS Med 2010 5.71
14 Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza? Nat Med 2006 3.89
15 Managing and reducing uncertainty in an emerging influenza pandemic. N Engl J Med 2009 3.31
16 West African Ebola epidemic after one year--slowing but not yet under control. N Engl J Med 2014 2.96
17 Real-time estimates in early detection of SARS. Emerg Infect Dis 2006 2.87
18 Role of social networks in shaping disease transmission during a community outbreak of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2011 2.79
19 Scale-free networks and sexually transmitted diseases: a description of observed patterns of sexual contacts in Britain and Zimbabwe. Sex Transm Dis 2004 2.75
20 Modelling the impact of antiretroviral use in resource-poor settings. PLoS Med 2006 2.52
21 Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemic. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 2004 2.45
22 The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: an analysis of all 1755 patients. Ann Intern Med 2004 2.36
23 Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in Great Britain. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2006 2.35
24 Ebola virus disease among children in West Africa. N Engl J Med 2015 2.17
25 Modelling the impact of vector control interventions on Anopheles gambiae population dynamics. Parasit Vectors 2011 1.99
26 A new framework and software to estimate time-varying reproduction numbers during epidemics. Am J Epidemiol 2013 1.94
27 The Early Transmission Dynamics of H1N1pdm Influenza in the United Kingdom. PLoS Curr 2009 1.87
28 Studies needed to address public health challenges of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: insights from modeling. PLoS Med 2010 1.83
29 Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling. PLoS Comput Biol 2011 1.78
30 The epidemiological impact of antiretroviral use predicted by mathematical models: a review. Emerg Themes Epidemiol 2005 1.76
31 Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States. J R Soc Interface 2010 1.71
32 Likelihood-based estimation of continuous-time epidemic models from time-series data: application to measles transmission in London. J R Soc Interface 2008 1.69
33 Transmission parameters of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. PLoS One 2007 1.59
34 Comment on "Seroevidence for H5N1 influenza infections in humans: meta-analysis". Science 2012 1.58
35 Epidemiological inference for partially observed epidemics: the example of the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Epidemics 2008 1.56
36 Implications of BSE infection screening data for the scale of the British BSE epidemic and current European infection levels. Proc Biol Sci 2002 1.49
37 Epidemiological and genetic analysis of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Lancet Infect Dis 2004 1.43
38 Serial intervals and the temporal distribution of secondary infections within households of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): implications for influenza control recommendations. Clin Infect Dis 2011 1.40
39 Increased transmissibility explains the third wave of infection by the 2009 H1N1 pandemic virus in England. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2013 1.39
40 Control of a highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza outbreak in the GB poultry flock. Proc Biol Sci 2007 1.39
41 Influenza infection rates, measurement errors and the interpretation of paired serology. PLoS Pathog 2012 1.38
42 Transmission characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: comparison of 8 Southern hemisphere countries. PLoS Pathog 2011 1.38
43 Using routine surveillance data to estimate the epidemic potential of emerging zoonoses: application to the emergence of US swine origin influenza A H3N2v virus. PLoS Med 2013 1.37
44 Updated projections of future vCJD deaths in the UK. BMC Infect Dis 2003 1.33
45 Frequent travelers and rate of spread of epidemics. Emerg Infect Dis 2007 1.29
46 SARS-CoV antibody prevalence in all Hong Kong patient contacts. Emerg Infect Dis 2004 1.23
47 Use of a human influenza challenge model to assess person-to-person transmission: proof-of-concept study. J Infect Dis 2011 1.20
48 Methods to infer transmission risk factors in complex outbreak data. J R Soc Interface 2011 1.20
49 Evaluating the adequacy of gravity models as a description of human mobility for epidemic modelling. PLoS Comput Biol 2012 1.19
50 Factors determining the pattern of the variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) epidemic in the UK. Proc Biol Sci 2003 1.14
51 Epidemic and intervention modelling--a scientific rationale for policy decisions? Lessons from the 2009 influenza pandemic. Bull World Health Organ 2012 1.12
52 Ebola Virus Disease among Male and Female Persons in West Africa. N Engl J Med 2016 1.08
53 Antigenic diversity, transmission mechanisms, and the evolution of pathogens. PLoS Comput Biol 2009 1.06
54 The relationship between real-time and discrete-generation models of epidemic spread. Math Biosci 2008 1.02
55 Space and contact networks: capturing the locality of disease transmission. J R Soc Interface 2006 1.01
56 Estimating air temperature and its influence on malaria transmission across Africa. PLoS One 2013 1.00
57 After Ebola in West Africa--Unpredictable Risks, Preventable Epidemics. N Engl J Med 2016 0.94
58 Inferring pandemic growth rates from sequence data. J R Soc Interface 2012 0.93
59 Predicting evolutionary change in the influenza A virus. Nat Med 2002 0.93
60 Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic. Am J Epidemiol 2011 0.92
61 The transmission dynamics of BSE and vCJD. C R Biol 2002 0.92
62 The impact of cross-immunity, mutation and stochastic extinction on pathogen diversity. Proc Biol Sci 2004 0.92
63 Rapid detection of pandemic influenza in the presence of seasonal influenza. BMC Public Health 2010 0.91
64 Transmission dynamics, border entry screening, and school holidays during the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, China. Emerg Infect Dis 2012 0.90
65 Within-farm transmission dynamics of foot and mouth disease as revealed by the 2001 epidemic in Great Britain. Epidemics 2012 0.90
66 The maintenance of sex in parasites. Proc Biol Sci 2003 0.87
67 Epidemic growth rate and household reproduction number in communities of households, schools and workplaces. J Math Biol 2010 0.87
68 Estimating the location and spatial extent of a covert anthrax release. PLoS Comput Biol 2009 0.85
69 Short-term projections for variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease onsets. Stat Methods Med Res 2003 0.84
70 Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite models. J Theor Biol 2003 0.84
71 Viral replication under combination antiretroviral therapy: a comparison of four different regimens. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2002 0.84
72 Antigen-driven T-cell turnover. J Theor Biol 2002 0.81
73 Unveiling the burden of pertussis. Trends Microbiol 2004 0.81
74 Multiple contributory factors to the age distribution of disease cases: a modeling study in the context of influenza A(H3N2v). Clin Infect Dis 2013 0.81
75 Worldwide transmission and seasonal variation of pandemic influenza A(H1N1)2009 virus activity during the 2009-2010 pandemic. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2013 0.81
76 Re-assessment of mitigation strategies for deliberate releases of anthrax using a real-time outbreak characterization tool. Epidemics 2010 0.81
77 A many-body field theory approach to stochastic models in population biology. PLoS One 2009 0.79
78 Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Am J Epidemiol 2016 0.78
79 Transmission dynamics of the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic in India: the impact of holiday-related school closure. Epidemics 2013 0.78
80 Feature selection methods for identifying genetic determinants of host species in RNA viruses. PLoS Comput Biol 2013 0.77
81 Optimizing the precision of case fatality ratio estimates under the surveillance pyramid approach. Am J Epidemiol 2014 0.77