Published in Nature on February 07, 2008
Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review. Phys Life Rev (2016) 5.22
Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study. J R Soc Interface (2009) 2.44
Explaining seasonal fluctuations of measles in Niger using nighttime lights imagery. Science (2011) 1.97
Integrating rapid risk mapping and mobile phone call record data for strategic malaria elimination planning. Malar J (2014) 1.85
Host-pathogen time series data in wildlife support a transmission function between density and frequency dependence. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2009) 1.65
Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen. Proc Biol Sci (2009) 1.56
Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger. Proc Biol Sci (2010) 1.45
Essential epidemiological mechanisms underpinning the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza. J R Soc Interface (2011) 1.40
Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (2015) 1.37
Assembling evidence for identifying reservoirs of infection. Trends Ecol Evol (2014) 1.33
Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. J R Soc Interface (2009) 1.28
Synthesizing epidemiological and economic optima for control of immunizing infections. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.27
Measles virus-induced suppression of immune responses. Immunol Rev (2010) 1.27
Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2012) 1.26
Ecology of zoonotic infectious diseases in bats: current knowledge and future directions. Zoonoses Public Health (2012) 1.24
Modelling cholera epidemics: the role of waterways, human mobility and sanitation. J R Soc Interface (2011) 1.18
The epidemiology of rubella in Mexico: seasonality, stochasticity and regional variation. Epidemiol Infect (2010) 1.17
Impact of birth rate, seasonality and transmission rate on minimum levels of coverage needed for rubella vaccination. Epidemiol Infect (2012) 1.17
Stochasticity in staged models of epidemics: quantifying the dynamics of whooping cough. J R Soc Interface (2010) 1.09
Prolonged persistence of measles virus RNA is characteristic of primary infection dynamics. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2012) 1.08
Parameterizing state-space models for infectious disease dynamics by generalized profiling: measles in Ontario. J R Soc Interface (2010) 1.08
Influence of birth rates and transmission rates on the global seasonality of rotavirus incidence. J R Soc Interface (2011) 1.07
Measles hotspots and epidemiological connectivity. Epidemiol Infect (2010) 1.07
Episodic outbreaks bias estimates of age-specific force of infection: a corrected method using measles as an example. Epidemiol Infect (2009) 1.04
Emergence and re-emergence of viral diseases of the central nervous system. Prog Neurobiol (2009) 1.03
Think globally, act locally: the role of local demographics and vaccination coverage in the dynamic response of measles infection to control. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci (2013) 1.02
Spatial clustering in the spatio-temporal dynamics of endemic cholera. BMC Infect Dis (2010) 1.01
Strong seasonality produces spatial asynchrony in the outbreak of infectious diseases. J R Soc Interface (2010) 1.00
Household size is critical to varicella-zoster virus transmission in the tropics despite lower viral infectivity. Epidemics (2010) 0.97
Quantifying the transmissibility of human influenza and its seasonal variation in temperate regions. PLoS Curr (2009) 0.95
Measles virus strain diversity, Nigeria and Democratic Republic of the Congo. Emerg Infect Dis (2010) 0.95
Structured models of infectious disease: inference with discrete data. Theor Popul Biol (2011) 0.95
Modelling the first dose of measles vaccination: the role of maternal immunity, demographic factors, and delivery systems. Epidemiol Infect (2010) 0.94
A 60-year review on the changing epidemiology of measles in capital Beijing, China, 1951-2011. BMC Public Health (2013) 0.94
Quantifying child mortality reductions related to measles vaccination. PLoS One (2010) 0.94
Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2015) 0.92
Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics. J R Soc Interface (2016) 0.92
Modelling seasonality and viral mutation to predict the course of an influenza pandemic. Epidemiol Infect (2010) 0.91
Measles on the edge: coastal heterogeneities and infection dynamics. PLoS One (2008) 0.90
Never mind the length, feel the quality: the impact of long-term epidemiological data sets on theory, application and policy. Trends Ecol Evol (2010) 0.88
Impact of birth seasonality on dynamics of acute immunizing infections in Sub-Saharan Africa. PLoS One (2013) 0.88
Biotic interactions and temporal dynamics of the human gastrointestinal microbiota. ISME J (2014) 0.86
Controlling measles using supplemental immunization activities: a mathematical model to inform optimal policy. Vaccine (2014) 0.86
Spatial dynamics of meningococcal meningitis in Niger: observed patterns in comparison with measles. Epidemiol Infect (2011) 0.86
The epidemiological characteristics of measles and difficulties of measles elimination in Hang Zhou, China. Hum Vaccin Immunother (2013) 0.86
Persistence in epidemic metapopulations: quantifying the rescue effects for measles, mumps, rubella and whooping cough. PLoS One (2013) 0.86
Optimizing reactive responses to outbreaks of immunizing infections: balancing case management and vaccination. PLoS One (2012) 0.85
Evaluating Spatial Interaction Models for Regional Mobility in Sub-Saharan Africa. PLoS Comput Biol (2015) 0.85
Probabilistic measures of persistence and extinction in measles (meta)populations. Ecol Lett (2013) 0.84
Modelling the proportion of influenza infections within households during pandemic and non-pandemic years. PLoS One (2011) 0.84
Tactics and strategies for managing Ebola outbreaks and the salience of immunization. Comput Math Methods Med (2015) 0.84
The effects of maternal immunity and age structure on population immunity to measles. Theor Ecol (2015) 0.83
Decreasing stochasticity through enhanced seasonality in measles epidemics. J R Soc Interface (2009) 0.83
Deciphering the relative weights of demographic transition and vaccination in the decrease of measles incidence in Italy. Proc Biol Sci (2014) 0.82
Development of an artificial-antigen-presenting-cell-based assay for the detection of low-frequency virus-specific CD8(+) T cells in whole blood, with application for measles virus. Clin Vaccine Immunol (2009) 0.82
Effect of thermal environment on the temporal, spatial and seasonal occurrence of measles in Ondo state, Nigeria. Int J Biometeorol (2011) 0.81
Modelling the long-term dynamics of pre-vaccination pertussis. J R Soc Interface (2012) 0.81
State-space forecasting of Schistosoma haematobium time-series in Niono, Mali. PLoS Negl Trop Dis (2008) 0.81
The impact of coinfections and their simultaneous transmission on antigenic diversity and epidemic cycling of infectious diseases. Biomed Res Int (2014) 0.81
Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns. PLoS Comput Biol (2016) 0.81
Identifying high-risk areas for sporadic measles outbreaks: lessons from South Africa. Bull World Health Organ (2013) 0.80
Post-Ebola Measles Outbreak in Lola, Guinea, January-June 2015(1). Emerg Infect Dis (2016) 0.80
Possible interruption of measles virus transmission, Uganda, 2006-2009. Emerg Infect Dis (2011) 0.79
Time is (still) of the essence: quantifying the impact of emergency meningitis vaccination response in Katsina State, Nigeria. Int Health (2014) 0.79
A stochastic model for transmission, extinction and outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 in cattle as affected by ambient temperature and cleaning practices. J Math Biol (2013) 0.79
Population-level differences in disease transmission: a Bayesian analysis of multiple smallpox epidemics. Epidemics (2013) 0.79
Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Critical Community Size and Spatial Vaccination Strategies. Sci Rep (2016) 0.78
Nonlinearity and chaos in ecological dynamics revisited. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2015) 0.77
Utility of mosquito surveillance data for spatial prioritization of vector control against dengue viruses in three Brazilian cities. Parasit Vectors (2015) 0.77
Spatiotemporal analysis of infant measles using population attributable risk in Shandong province, 1999-2008. PLoS One (2013) 0.77
Characterizing the dynamics of rubella relative to measles: the role of stochasticity. J R Soc Interface (2013) 0.77
Seasonal Population Movements and the Surveillance and Control of Infectious Diseases. Trends Parasitol (2016) 0.75
Conserved patterns of incomplete reporting in pre-vaccine era childhood diseases. Proc Biol Sci (2014) 0.75
Measuring populations to improve vaccination coverage. Sci Rep (2016) 0.75
Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study. PLoS Med (2016) 0.75
Determinants of rotavirus transmission: a lag non-linear time series analysis. Epidemiology (2017) 0.75
The cohort effect in childhood disease dynamics. J R Soc Interface (2016) 0.75
A 'post-honeymoon' measles epidemic in Burundi: mathematical model-based analysis and implications for vaccination timing. PeerJ (2016) 0.75
The potential impact of immunization campaign budget re-allocation on global eradication of paediatric infectious diseases. BMC Public Health (2011) 0.75
Determinants of the Transmission Variation of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in China. PLoS One (2016) 0.75
Self-enforcing regional vaccination agreements. J R Soc Interface (2016) 0.75
Contact structure, mobility, environmental impact and behaviour: the importance of social forces to infectious disease dynamics and disease ecology. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci (2017) 0.75
Demographic transition and the dynamics of measles in six provinces in China: A modeling study. PLoS Med (2017) 0.75
Introduction of rubella-containing-vaccine to Madagascar: implications for roll-out and local elimination. J R Soc Interface (2016) 0.75
Dynamical crises, multistability and the influence of the duration of immunity in a seasonally-forced model of disease transmission. Theor Biol Med Model (2014) 0.75
Geospatial characteristics of measles transmission in China during 2005-2014. PLoS Comput Biol (2017) 0.75
tsiR: An R package for time-series Susceptible-Infected-Recovered models of epidemics. PLoS One (2017) 0.75
Characterizing measles transmission in India: a dynamic modeling study using verbal autopsy data. BMC Med (2017) 0.75
Burden of disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae in children younger than 5 years: global estimates. Lancet (2009) 15.31
Spread of artemisinin resistance in Plasmodium falciparum malaria. N Engl J Med (2014) 11.87
Scaling up of highly active antiretroviral therapy in a rural district of Malawi: an effectiveness assessment. Lancet (2006) 10.91
Synchrony, waves, and spatial hierarchies in the spread of influenza. Science (2006) 10.43
Standardizing the measurement of parasite clearance in falciparum malaria: the parasite clearance estimator. Malar J (2011) 5.65
Whole-genome analysis of human influenza A virus reveals multiple persistent lineages and reassortment among recent H3N2 viruses. PLoS Biol (2005) 5.48
Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States. PLoS Biol (2010) 5.43
Burden of disease caused by Haemophilus influenzae type b in children younger than 5 years: global estimates. Lancet (2009) 4.81
Multinational impact of the 1968 Hong Kong influenza pandemic: evidence for a smoldering pandemic. J Infect Dis (2005) 4.75
Planning for smallpox outbreaks. Nature (2003) 4.16
The threat of artemisinin-resistant malaria. N Engl J Med (2011) 4.15
Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature (2006) 4.05
Host species barriers to influenza virus infections. Science (2006) 3.94
Stochastic processes are key determinants of short-term evolution in influenza a virus. PLoS Pathog (2006) 3.82
Epidemic dynamics at the human-animal interface. Science (2009) 3.79
Effectiveness of mass oral cholera vaccination in Beira, Mozambique. N Engl J Med (2005) 3.68
Validity of verbal autopsy procedures for determining cause of death in Tanzania. Trop Med Int Health (2006) 3.62
Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model for epidemiological coupling and dynamics. Am Nat (2004) 3.43
When individual behaviour matters: homogeneous and network models in epidemiology. J R Soc Interface (2007) 3.41
Global patterns in seasonal activity of influenza A/H3N2, A/H1N1, and B from 1997 to 2005: viral coexistence and latitudinal gradients. PLoS One (2007) 3.12
Does multiple infection select for raised virulence? Trends Microbiol (2002) 2.75
Routine Amoxicillin for Uncomplicated Severe Acute Malnutrition in Children. N Engl J Med (2016) 2.72
Demographic variability, vaccination, and the spatiotemporal dynamics of rotavirus epidemics. Science (2009) 2.67
The genesis and spread of reassortment human influenza A/H3N2 viruses conferring adamantane resistance. Mol Biol Evol (2007) 2.59
Dynamics and selection of many-strain pathogens. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2002) 2.54
Spatio-temporal distribution of Plasmodium falciparum and p. Vivax malaria in Thailand. Am J Trop Med Hyg (2005) 2.41
Operational response to malaria epidemics: are rapid diagnostic tests cost-effective? Trop Med Int Health (2006) 2.39
The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases. Am Nat (2002) 2.35
Estimates of measles case fatality ratios: a comprehensive review of community-based studies. Int J Epidemiol (2009) 2.28
Use of Vibrio cholerae vaccine in an outbreak in Guinea. N Engl J Med (2014) 2.24
Efficacy and safety of artemether-lumefantrine compared with quinine in pregnant women with uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria: an open-label, randomised, non-inferiority trial. Lancet Infect Dis (2010) 2.24
Estimation and inference of R0 of an infectious pathogen by a removal method. Math Biosci (2005) 2.09
Treatment options for visceral leishmaniasis: a systematic review of clinical studies done in India, 1980-2004. Lancet Infect Dis (2005) 2.06
Population dynamics of rapid fixation in cytotoxic T lymphocyte escape mutants of influenza A. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2003) 2.03
Intracellular demography and the dynamics of Salmonella enterica infections. PLoS Biol (2006) 2.02
Strategies for containing a global influenza pandemic. Vaccine (2006) 1.96
The primacy of public health considerations in defining poor quality medicines. PLoS Med (2011) 1.91
Incremental cost-effectiveness of supplementary immunization activities to prevent neonatal tetanus in Pakistan. Bull World Health Organ (2004) 1.87
Mind the gaps--the epidemiology of poor-quality anti-malarials in the malarious world--analysis of the WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network database. Malar J (2014) 1.86
Evaluation of three parasite lactate dehydrogenase-based rapid diagnostic tests for the diagnosis of falciparum and vivax malaria. Malar J (2009) 1.86
Understanding the persistence of measles: reconciling theory, simulation and observation. Proc Biol Sci (2002) 1.82
Poor quality vital anti-malarials in Africa - an urgent neglected public health priority. Malar J (2011) 1.76
Meningitis serogroup W135 outbreak, Burkina Faso, 2002. Emerg Infect Dis (2007) 1.75
Intra- and interhost evolutionary dynamics of equine influenza virus. J Virol (2010) 1.75
The case for reactive mass oral cholera vaccinations. PLoS Negl Trop Dis (2011) 1.70
Prioritization of influenza pandemic vaccination to minimize years of life lost. J Infect Dis (2008) 1.69
A stochastic model for extinction and recurrence of epidemics: estimation and inference for measles outbreaks. Biostatistics (2002) 1.64
Discovering the phylodynamics of RNA viruses. PLoS Comput Biol (2009) 1.63
Mapping populations at risk: improving spatial demographic data for infectious disease modeling and metric derivation. Popul Health Metr (2012) 1.62
Dynamics of influenza virus infection and pathology. J Virol (2010) 1.62
Natural immune boosting in pertussis dynamics and the potential for long-term vaccine failure. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.61
Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS Med (2011) 1.57
Impact of changing the measles vaccine vial size on Niger's vaccine supply chain: a computational model. BMC Public Health (2011) 1.57
Mapping the aetiology of non-malarial febrile illness in Southeast Asia through a systematic review--terra incognita impairing treatment policies. PLoS One (2012) 1.56
Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen. Proc Biol Sci (2009) 1.56
World Antimalarial Resistance Network I: clinical efficacy of antimalarial drugs. Malar J (2007) 1.56
Evaluation of the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers, Sierra Leone. Emerg Infect Dis (2015) 1.56
Late vaccination reinforcement during a measles epidemic in Niamey, Niger (2003-2004). Vaccine (2006) 1.53
Mitigating the threat of artemisinin resistance in Africa: improvement of drug-resistance surveillance and response systems. Lancet Infect Dis (2012) 1.53
The evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics of the paramyxoviridae. J Mol Evol (2008) 1.53
Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proc Biol Sci (2008) 1.52
Quantifying the impact of immune escape on transmission dynamics of influenza. Science (2009) 1.50
Schistosomiasis in infants and preschool-aged children: Infection in a single Schistosoma haematobium and a mixed S. haematobium-S. mansoni foci of Niger. Acta Trop (2010) 1.50
Air travel and the spread of influenza: important caveats. PLoS Med (2006) 1.49
The impact of making vaccines thermostable in Niger's vaccine supply chain. Vaccine (2012) 1.48
A long-lasting measles epidemic in Maroua, Cameroon 2008-2009: mass vaccination as response to the epidemic. J Infect Dis (2011) 1.45
Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger. Proc Biol Sci (2010) 1.45
A comparison of cluster and systematic sampling methods for measuring crude mortality. Bull World Health Organ (2006) 1.44
Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. BMC Vet Res (2006) 1.43
Medication sales and syndromic surveillance, France. Emerg Infect Dis (2006) 1.42
Approaching the limit of predictability in human mobility. Sci Rep (2013) 1.42
Lessons and challenges for measles control from unexpected large outbreak, Malawi. Emerg Infect Dis (2013) 1.40
Seasonality and the persistence and invasion of measles. Proc Biol Sci (2007) 1.40
Poliomyelitis outbreak, Pointe-Noire, Republic of the Congo, September 2010-February 2011. Emerg Infect Dis (2011) 1.39
Bleach sedimentation: an opportunity to optimize smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis in settings of high prevalence of HIV. Clin Infect Dis (2008) 1.38
First outbreak response using an oral cholera vaccine in Africa: vaccine coverage, acceptability and surveillance of adverse events, Guinea, 2012. PLoS Negl Trop Dis (2013) 1.37
Evolution of an Eurasian avian-like influenza virus in naïve and vaccinated pigs. PLoS Pathog (2012) 1.36
Network frailty and the geometry of herd immunity. Proc Biol Sci (2006) 1.30
Transmission consequences of coinfection: cytokines writ large? Trends Parasitol (2007) 1.29
Feasibility of mass vaccination campaign with oral cholera vaccines in response to an outbreak in Guinea. PLoS Med (2013) 1.29
Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. J R Soc Interface (2009) 1.28
The effect of seasonality, density and climate on the population dynamics of Montana deer mice, important reservoir hosts for Sin Nombre hantavirus. J Anim Ecol (2009) 1.27
Synthesizing epidemiological and economic optima for control of immunizing infections. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.27
Evidence-based control of canine rabies: a critical review of population density reduction. J Anim Ecol (2012) 1.26
Prevalence of Buruli ulcer in Akonolinga health district, Cameroon: results of a cross sectional survey. PLoS Negl Trop Dis (2009) 1.24