Published in Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A on November 19, 2004
Influenza virus transmission is dependent on relative humidity and temperature. PLoS Pathog (2007) 8.61
Absolute humidity modulates influenza survival, transmission, and seasonality. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2009) 6.18
Delaying the international spread of pandemic influenza. PLoS Med (2006) 4.50
Influenza seasonality: underlying causes and modeling theories. J Virol (2006) 4.22
Global patterns in seasonal activity of influenza A/H3N2, A/H1N1, and B from 1997 to 2005: viral coexistence and latitudinal gradients. PLoS One (2007) 3.12
Seasonal influenza in the United States, France, and Australia: transmission and prospects for control. Epidemiol Infect (2007) 3.09
Global influenza seasonality: reconciling patterns across temperate and tropical regions. Environ Health Perspect (2010) 3.09
Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data. J R Soc Interface (2007) 2.83
Cross-protective immunity can account for the alternating epidemic pattern of dengue virus serotypes circulating in Bangkok. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2006) 2.77
Seasonal infectious disease epidemiology. Proc Biol Sci (2006) 2.62
Influenza seasonality: lifting the fog. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2009) 2.20
Modelling mitigation strategies for pandemic (H1N1) 2009. CMAJ (2009) 2.01
Stochastic amplification in epidemics. J R Soc Interface (2007) 1.95
Modeling influenza epidemics and pandemics: insights into the future of swine flu (H1N1). BMC Med (2009) 1.92
Vaccinating to protect a vulnerable subpopulation. PLoS Med (2007) 1.76
Resonance of the epidemic threshold in a periodic environment. J Math Biol (2008) 1.58
Modelling an influenza pandemic: A guide for the perplexed. CMAJ (2009) 1.53
Real time bayesian estimation of the epidemic potential of emerging infectious diseases. PLoS One (2008) 1.46
Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger. Proc Biol Sci (2010) 1.45
Genealogy with seasonality, the basic reproduction number, and the influenza pandemic. J Math Biol (2010) 1.37
Relationship between humidity and influenza A viability in droplets and implications for influenza's seasonality. PLoS One (2012) 1.36
Epidemic dynamics and antigenic evolution in a single season of influenza A. Proc Biol Sci (2006) 1.32
Host, weather and virological factors drive norovirus epidemiology: time-series analysis of laboratory surveillance data in England and Wales. PLoS One (2009) 1.30
Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. J R Soc Interface (2008) 1.20
A composite epidemic curve for seasonal influenza in Canada with an international comparison. Influenza Other Respir Viruses (2010) 1.17
A systematic review and meta-analysis of the global seasonality of norovirus. PLoS One (2013) 1.17
Let the sun shine in: effects of ultraviolet radiation on invasive pneumococcal disease risk in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. BMC Infect Dis (2009) 1.13
Evaluation of coseasonality of influenza and invasive pneumococcal disease: results from prospective surveillance. PLoS Med (2011) 1.10
Influence of birth rates and transmission rates on the global seasonality of rotavirus incidence. J R Soc Interface (2011) 1.07
The role of temperature and humidity on seasonal influenza in tropical areas: Guatemala, El Salvador and Panama, 2008-2013. PLoS One (2014) 1.05
Sustained oscillations for density dependent Markov processes. J Math Biol (2010) 1.03
Disease effects on reproduction can cause population cycles in seasonal environments. J Anim Ecol (2007) 1.03
Global environmental drivers of influenza. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2016) 1.02
Global Spatio-temporal Patterns of Influenza in the Post-pandemic Era. Sci Rep (2015) 1.01
Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Modeling Epidemic Dynamics of Enterovirus Serotypes and Implications for Vaccination. PLoS Med (2016) 0.99
Impact of pollution, climate, and sociodemographic factors on spatiotemporal dynamics of seasonal respiratory viruses. Clin Transl Sci (2011) 0.99
The impact of weather on influenza and pneumonia mortality in New York City, 1975-2002: a retrospective study. PLoS One (2012) 0.98
Seasonal oscillation of human infection with influenza A/H5N1 in Egypt and Indonesia. PLoS One (2011) 0.98
Roles of humidity and temperature in shaping influenza seasonality. J Virol (2014) 0.98
Time series analysis of incidence data of influenza in Japan. J Epidemiol (2010) 0.97
Modeling and statistical analysis of the spatio-temporal patterns of seasonal influenza in Israel. PLoS One (2012) 0.91
Absolute Humidity Influences the Seasonal Persistence and Infectivity of Human Norovirus. Appl Environ Microbiol (2014) 0.90
Impact of birth seasonality on dynamics of acute immunizing infections in Sub-Saharan Africa. PLoS One (2013) 0.88
Model answers or trivial pursuits? The role of mathematical models in influenza pandemic preparedness planning. Influenza Other Respir Viruses (2007) 0.87
Stochastic fluctuations in epidemics on networks. J R Soc Interface (2008) 0.86
Durable resistance to crop pathogens: an epidemiological framework to predict risk under uncertainty. PLoS Comput Biol (2013) 0.85
Modelling the proportion of influenza infections within households during pandemic and non-pandemic years. PLoS One (2011) 0.84
Disproportional effects in populations of concern for pandemic influenza: insights from seasonal epidemics in Wisconsin, 1967-2004. Influenza Other Respir Viruses (2010) 0.84
An optimal control theory approach to non-pharmaceutical interventions. BMC Infect Dis (2010) 0.83
Seasonal forcing and multi-year cycles in interacting populations: lessons from a predator-prey model. J Math Biol (2012) 0.82
Snowbirds and infection--new phenomena in pneumonia and influenza hospitalizations from winter migration of older adults: a spatiotemporal analysis. BMC Public Health (2011) 0.81
The impact of coinfections and their simultaneous transmission on antigenic diversity and epidemic cycling of infectious diseases. Biomed Res Int (2014) 0.81
The evolutionary dynamics of receptor binding avidity in influenza A: a mathematical model for a new antigenic drift hypothesis. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci (2013) 0.81
Spatiotemporal dynamics in the early stages of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic. PLoS Curr (2009) 0.81
Self-boosting vaccines and their implications for herd immunity. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2012) 0.81
Identifying meteorological drivers for the seasonal variations of influenza infections in a subtropical city – Hong Kong. Int J Environ Res Public Health (2015) 0.81
Deviations in influenza seasonality: odd coincidence or obscure consequence? Clin Microbiol Infect (2012) 0.80
Positive periodic solutions of an epidemic model with seasonality. ScientificWorldJournal (2013) 0.79
Gaining insights into human viral diseases through mathematics. Eur J Epidemiol (2006) 0.79
Demographic buffering: titrating the effects of birth rate and imperfect immunity on epidemic dynamics. J R Soc Interface (2015) 0.79
Chaos in a seasonally perturbed SIR model: avian influenza in a seabird colony as a paradigm. J Math Biol (2012) 0.79
Policy resistance undermines superspreader vaccination strategies for influenza. PLoS Comput Biol (2013) 0.78
Influenza infectious dose may explain the high mortality of the second and third wave of 1918-1919 influenza pandemic. PLoS One (2010) 0.78
Using a Dynamic Model to Consider Optimal Antiviral Stockpile Size in the Face of Pandemic Influenza Uncertainty. PLoS One (2013) 0.78
Transmissibility of the Influenza Virus during Influenza Outbreaks and Related Asymptomatic Infection in Mainland China, 2005-2013. PLoS One (2016) 0.78
A spatial model of Wild Poliovirus Type 1 in Kano State, Nigeria: calibration and assessment of elimination probability. BMC Infect Dis (2016) 0.77
Effect of the one-child policy on influenza transmission in China: a stochastic transmission model. PLoS One (2014) 0.77
Cross-immunity between strains explains the dynamical pattern of paramyxoviruses. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2015) 0.77
Impact of viral drift on vaccination dynamics and patterns of seasonal influenza. BMC Infect Dis (2013) 0.76
Human mobility networks and persistence of rapidly mutating pathogens. R Soc Open Sci (2017) 0.75
Dynamical crises, multistability and the influence of the duration of immunity in a seasonally-forced model of disease transmission. Theor Biol Med Model (2014) 0.75
Can interactions between timing of vaccine-altered influenza pandemic waves and seasonality in influenza complications lead to more severe outcomes? PLoS One (2011) 0.75
On the role of resonance in drug failure under HIV treatment interruption. Theor Biol Med Model (2013) 0.75
Assessment of optimal strategies in a two-patch dengue transmission model with seasonality. PLoS One (2017) 0.75
Airborne transmission of influenza virus infection in mice. Nature (1962) 4.13
Damping of Epidemic Waves. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (1945) 2.70
An evolutionary epidemiological mechanism, with applications to type A influenza. Theor Popul Biol (1987) 2.48
Effective leadership and decision-making in animal groups on the move. Nature (2005) 13.67
Coding-sequence determinants of gene expression in Escherichia coli. Science (2009) 8.38
Surgical mask vs N95 respirator for preventing influenza among health care workers: a randomized trial. JAMA (2009) 7.61
Complex systems: ecology for bankers. Nature (2008) 5.95
Anticipating critical transitions. Science (2012) 4.64
Uninformed individuals promote democratic consensus in animal groups. Science (2011) 4.30
Effect of influenza vaccination of children on infection rates in Hutterite communities: a randomized trial. JAMA (2010) 4.21
Hemagglutinin sequence clusters and the antigenic evolution of influenza A virus. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2002) 4.02
Mechanisms of long-distance dispersal of seeds by wind. Nature (2002) 3.97
The population genetics of dN/dS. PLoS Genet (2008) 3.88
Fractal reorientation clocks: Linking animal behavior to statistical patterns of search. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2008) 3.70
Cholera epidemic in Haiti, 2010: using a transmission model to explain spatial spread of disease and identify optimal control interventions. Ann Intern Med (2011) 3.62
Mortality due to influenza in the United States--an annualized regression approach using multiple-cause mortality data. Am J Epidemiol (2005) 3.58
Comparing classical community models: theoretical consequences for patterns of diversity. Am Nat (2002) 3.54
The global extent and determinants of savanna and forest as alternative biome states. Science (2011) 3.42
A draft genome of Yersinia pestis from victims of the Black Death. Nature (2011) 3.18
Optimal nitrogen-to-phosphorus stoichiometry of phytoplankton. Nature (2004) 3.13
Vaccination and the theory of games. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2004) 2.89
Initial human transmission dynamics of the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus in North America. Influenza Other Respir Viruses (2009) 2.69
Seed dispersal and spatial pattern in tropical trees. PLoS Biol (2006) 2.68
Marine taxa track local climate velocities. Science (2013) 2.63
Persistent colonization and the spread of antibiotic resistance in nosocomial pathogens: resistance is a regional problem. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2004) 2.57
Group interest versus self-interest in smallpox vaccination policy. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2003) 2.45
Redundancy, antiredundancy, and the robustness of genomes. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2002) 2.42
Prevalence of epistasis in the evolution of influenza A surface proteins. PLoS Genet (2011) 2.41
The evolution of quorum sensing in bacterial biofilms. PLoS Biol (2008) 2.32
Positive feedbacks promote power-law clustering of Kalahari vegetation. Nature (2007) 2.28
Generalized models reveal stabilizing factors in food webs. Science (2009) 2.28
Mutational robustness can facilitate adaptation. Nature (2010) 2.17
Targeted enrichment of ancient pathogens yielding the pPCP1 plasmid of Yersinia pestis from victims of the Black Death. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 2.15
Transients and attractors in epidemics. Proc Biol Sci (2003) 2.12
Generality of the final size formula for an epidemic of a newly invading infectious disease. Bull Math Biol (2006) 2.08
Trading-off fish biodiversity, food security, and hydropower in the Mekong River Basin. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2012) 2.02
Rate-limiting steps in yeast protein translation. Cell (2013) 1.99
Strategic interactions in multi-institutional epidemics of antibiotic resistance. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2005) 1.92
Inferring the dynamics of diversification: a coalescent approach. PLoS Biol (2010) 1.91
Fundamental questions in biology. PLoS Biol (2006) 1.87
Isolation and characterization of adenoviruses persistently shed from the gastrointestinal tract of non-human primates. PLoS Pathog (2009) 1.85
Fishery discards impact on seabird movement patterns at regional scales. Curr Biol (2010) 1.83
Ecology. Hatcheries and endangered salmon. Science (2004) 1.82
Reinforcement of pre-zygotic isolation and karyotype evolution in Agrodiaetus butterflies. Nature (2005) 1.76
Aging and gene expression in the primate brain. PLoS Biol (2005) 1.76
Vaccinating to protect a vulnerable subpopulation. PLoS Med (2007) 1.76
Evolution of human-driven fire regimes in Africa. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.73
Reconciling molecular phylogenies with the fossil record. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.72
Variations in the progranulin gene affect global gene expression in frontotemporal lobar degeneration. Hum Mol Genet (2008) 1.68
Extortion and cooperation in the Prisoner's Dilemma. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2012) 1.62
Leaky prezygotic isolation and porous genomes: rapid introgression of maternally inherited DNA. Evolution (2005) 1.62
The dynamics of adaptation on correlated fitness landscapes. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2009) 1.61
Using protein complexes to predict phenotypic effects of gene mutation. Genome Biol (2007) 1.57
The evolution of norms. PLoS Biol (2005) 1.53
Decision versus compromise for animal groups in motion. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.52
Immune history shapes specificity of pandemic H1N1 influenza antibody responses. J Exp Med (2013) 1.47
From extortion to generosity, evolution in the Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2013) 1.46
Visual sensory networks and effective information transfer in animal groups. Curr Biol (2013) 1.45
Consequences of defaunation for a tropical tree community. Ecol Lett (2013) 1.42
Building resilience and adaptation to manage Arctic change. Ambio (2006) 1.40
A statistical theory for sampling species abundances. Ecol Lett (2007) 1.40
Evolution, safety, and highly pathogenic influenza viruses. Science (2012) 1.36
Interactions between the immune system and cancer: a brief review of non-spatial mathematical models. Bull Math Biol (2010) 1.33
Differential neutralization efficiency of hemagglutinin epitopes, antibody interference, and the design of influenza vaccines. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2009) 1.31
Multiple transmission pathways and disease dynamics in a waterborne pathogen model. Bull Math Biol (2010) 1.30
Climate policies under wealth inequality. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2014) 1.25
Evolutionary escape from the prisoner's dilemma. J Theor Biol (2006) 1.24
On the use of hemagglutination-inhibition for influenza surveillance: surveillance data are predictive of influenza vaccine effectiveness. Vaccine (2009) 1.23
The polymorphism frequency spectrum of finitely many sites under selection. Genetics (2008) 1.22
Cutting through the complexity of cell collectives. Proc Biol Sci (2013) 1.20
Young proteins experience more variable selection pressures than old proteins. Genome Res (2010) 1.19
Genome landscapes and bacteriophage codon usage. PLoS Comput Biol (2008) 1.18
Age structure, residents, and transients of Miocene rodent communities. Am Nat (2005) 1.17
Identifying signatures of selection in genetic time series. Genetics (2013) 1.16
Second-pandemic strain of Vibrio cholerae from the Philadelphia cholera outbreak of 1849. N Engl J Med (2014) 1.16
The SIRC model and influenza A. Math Biosci (2006) 1.14
The structure of genealogies in the presence of purifying selection: a fitness-class coalescent. Genetics (2011) 1.11
Intergenerational resource transfers with random offspring numbers. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2009) 1.10
Bursts of nonsynonymous substitutions in HIV-1 evolution reveal instances of positive selection at conservative protein sites. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2006) 1.10
Size and scaling of predator-prey dynamics. Ecol Lett (2006) 1.10
Cooperation among microorganisms. PLoS Biol (2006) 1.10
On state-space reduction in multi-strain pathogen models, with an application to antigenic drift in influenza A. PLoS Comput Biol (2007) 1.09
Parameterizing state-space models for infectious disease dynamics by generalized profiling: measles in Ontario. J R Soc Interface (2010) 1.08
Observing bacteria through the lens of social evolution. J Biol (2008) 1.08
Selection biases the prevalence and type of epistasis along adaptive trajectories. Evolution (2013) 1.07
Why transcription factor binding sites are ten nucleotides long. Genetics (2012) 1.07
Evolution and persistence of influenza A and other diseases. Math Biosci (2004) 1.07
Evolution of a modular software network. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2011) 1.07
Integrating theoretical climate and fire effects on savanna and forest systems. Am Nat (2012) 1.06
Age-correlated gene expression in normal and neurodegenerative human brain tissues. PLoS One (2010) 1.06
Evolutionary tradeoffs can select against nitrogen fixation and thereby maintain nitrogen limitation. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2008) 1.06
The effect of global travel on the spread of sars. Math Biosci Eng (2006) 1.04
Single hemagglutinin mutations that alter both antigenicity and receptor binding avidity influence influenza virus antigenic clustering. J Virol (2013) 1.04
Spread of two linked social norms on complex interaction networks. J Theor Biol (2004) 1.04
Specialization and evolutionary branching within migratory populations. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2010) 1.04
Epidemiological effects of seasonal oscillations in birth rates. Theor Popul Biol (2007) 1.04
Intraspecific variation and species coexistence. Am Nat (2007) 1.03
Some consequences of demographic stochasticity in population genetics. Genetics (2010) 1.02
Persistent expression of Pax3 in the neural crest causes cleft palate and defective osteogenesis in mice. J Clin Invest (2008) 1.01
Genome-wide analysis of natural selection on human cis-elements. PLoS One (2008) 1.00
Global asymptotic coherence in discrete dynamical systems. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A (2006) 1.00